Sunday, April 27, 2008

Chinese space dominance?

There is an interesting bit on CNN, nominally categorized as election news, which considers US space resources for the next president, and promotes the idea that China will surpass US space dominance by the end of the next president's next term. I am inclined to consider this fear-mongering, or at the very least fishing for a story, and the inclusion of a quote by Bob Zubrin sort of solidifies it for me.

I am a pretty big fan of Zubrin, but I think he has a tendency to exaggerate in order to get people to listen to him (perhaps that is a necessity when discussing the space program). Speaking of the Chinese, Zubrin had this to say:
"And we're standing still. If we continue to stand still, by the middle of the next decade, their space program will be superior to ours and they'll be moving on to the moon and Mars, while we're ... looking back on our former greatness," he said.

That is a gross exaggeration, because up to now, the Chinese have basically been repurposing Russian space technology. I don't think the Chinese have shown definitively they can create their own technology, and they would need to do that in order to put people on the Moon or Mars.

I support the space program, and I want it to succeed compared to the programs of the Russians and the Chinese, but I don't think screaming about the sky falling is the way to do it. At least I hope it isn't.

1 comment:

debr1tc42e said...

3D Vacuum Storage Bags printing is changing into steadily integrated into the entire supply chain. But when those challenges are overcome — or alleviated — curiosity in different 3D printing supplies is excessive. When we look at at|have a look at} what supplies are presently utilizing comparability with} what they wish to use, plastics remain the best choice. However, the desire to make use of almost all other supplies surpasses the present use. Most noticeably, the desire to make use of glass surpasses present usage by 20%; desire to make use of ceramics exceeds use by 14%; and curiosity in metals surpasses present use by 10%. Based on these findings, goes to be|will most likely be} fascinating to see how additive materials usage evolves in another two years.